Low | High | |||||||
Net
Revenues |
||||||||
Lodging |
$ | 700 | $ | 730 | ||||
Vacation Exchange and Rentals |
1,240 | 1,290 | ||||||
Vacation Ownership |
2,400 | 2,500 | ||||||
Total Reportable Segments |
$ | 4,350 | $ | 4,510 | ||||
Adjusted
EBITDA |
||||||||
Lodging |
$ | 215 | $ | 230 | ||||
Vacation Exchange and Rentals |
310 | 330 | ||||||
Vacation Ownership |
380 | 400 | ||||||
Corporate and Other |
(80 | ) | (65 | ) | ||||
Total Adjusted EBITDA |
835 | 875 | ||||||
Depreciation and amortization |
(170 | ) | (160 | ) | ||||
Interest expense, net |
(80 | ) | (70 | ) | ||||
Income before income taxes |
585 | 645 | ||||||
Provision for income taxes |
(220 | ) | (245 | ) | ||||
Adjusted net income |
$ | 365 | $ | 400 | ||||
Diluted earnings per share |
$ | 1.98 | $ | 2.17 | ||||
Diluted shares |
184 | 184 |
2007 Seasonality | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
LOW | HIGH | LOW | HIGH | LOW | HIGH | LOW | HIGH | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net
Revenues |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Lodging |
20 | % | 22 | % | 25 | % | 27 | % | 27 | % | 29 | % | 24 | % | 26 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Vacation Exchange and Rentals |
23 | % | 25 | % | 23 | % | 25 | % | 27 | % | 29 | % | 23 | % | 25 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Vacation Ownership |
21 | % | 23 | % | 24 | % | 26 | % | 26 | % | 28 | % | 25 | % | 27 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Total Reportable Segments |
22 | % | 24 | % | 24 | % | 26 | % | 26 | % | 28 | % | 24 | % | 26 | % | ||||||||||||||||
EBITDA |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Lodging |
20 | % | 22 | % | 24 | % | 26 | % | 30 | % | 32 | % | 22 | % | 24 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Vacation Exchange and Rentals |
26 | % | 28 | % | 16 | % | 18 | % | 36 | % | 38 | % | 18 | % | 20 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Vacation Ownership |
16 | % | 18 | % | 24 | % | 26 | % | 26 | % | 28 | % | 30 | % | 32 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Total Reportable Segments |
20 | % | 22 | % | 22 | % | 24 | % | 30 | % | 32 | % | 24 | % | 26 | % |
Note 1: | Projections do not total because we do not expect the actual results of all segments to be at the highest or lowest end of any projected range simultaneously. | |
Note 2: | Projections exclude separation and related as well as legacy adjustments. | |
Note 3: | It is not practical to provide a reconciliation of forecasted Adjusted EBITDA for the full year 2007 to the most directly comparable GAAP measure, net income, because certain items cannot be reasonably estimated or predicted at this time. Any of those items could be significant to our financial results. |
Lodging | Low | High |
RevPAR | 5% | 7% |
Weighted Average Rooms Available | 2% | 4% |
Vacation Exchange and Rentals | ||
Average Number of Members | 4% | 6% |
Annual Dues and Exchange Revenue per Member | 1% | 3% |
Vacation Rental Transactions | 6% | 8% |
Average Net Price per Vacation Rental | 6% | 8% |
Vacation Ownership | ||
Tours | 9% | 11% |
Volume per Guest (VPG) | 4% | 6% |